A new multi-model dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts


The main reference to the PanClim multi-model climate dataset is:

Trajectories of global mean temperature increase and corresponding atmospheric CO2 concentration. Source: CC-BY Heinke et al., 2013.

Heinke, J., Ostberg, S., Schaphoff, S., Frieler, K., Müller, C., Gerten, D., Meinshausen, M. and Lucht, W. (2013): A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming, Geoscientific Model Development, 6, 1689-1703, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-1689-2013.

The climate scenarios have been applied in the following studies:

  • Gerten, D., Lucht, W., Ostberg, S., Heinke, J., Kowarsch, M., Kreft, H., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Rastgooy, J., Warren, R. and Schellnhuber, H.S. (2013): Asynchronous exposure to global warming: freshwater resources and terrestrial ecosystems, Environmental Research Letters, 8, 034032, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034032

Global land-surface area at risk of major or at least moderate ecosystem change by around 2100. Source: CC-BY Ostberg et al., 2013.
  • Ostberg, S., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S. and Gerten, D. (2013): Critical impacts of global warming on land ecosystems, Earth System Dynamics, 4, 347-357, doi:10.5194/esd-4-347-2013
    (Note that you can download software and source code from this paper in the download section.)

  • Schaphoff, S., Heyder, U., Ostberg, S., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Lucht, W. (2013): Contribution of permafrost soils to the global carbon budget, Environmental Research Letters, 8, 014026, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014026
If you use any of the data available on this website in a publication, please tell us, and we may add it here.
Data produced at:

Logo Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

with support by:
  • International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) and the CGIAR research program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)
Logo Federal Ministry of Education and Research

GLUES, a project of the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research's (BMBF's) "Sustainable Land Management" programme

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European Union's Sixth and Seventh Framework Programme for research, technological development and demonstration

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